Cleansing Wildfire Statistics

Desired Outcome:

Cast Cleansing Wildfire on turn two, targeting a land that wants to be destoryed (wild lands). Example: Flagstones of Trokair, Indestructible lands, etc.

Things we need:

• One copy of cleansing wildfire
• Two mana available on turn two
• A wild land

Variables:

• Draw vs play
• Number of wild lands
• Number of wild lands that enter tapped vs untapped

Constants:

• Deck is 60 cards
• 4 copies of Cleansing Wildfire
• Always draw 7 card opener

Ways to Get T2 Wildfire

• ETB tapped wild land turn 1, turn 2 any untapped land (Pauper manabase example)
• Any land turn 1, turn 2 wild land that enters untapped (Flagsotnes/Darksteel Citadel example)
  • Opening Hand
    • Any Land
    • Untaped Wild Land
    • Wildfire effect
  • All three turn one
  • Two out of three (on the play)
    • Land + Wildfire
      • One draw, find wild land
    • Land + Wild Land
      • One draw, find wildfire
    • Wild Land + Wildfire
      • One draw, find any untapped land
  • Two out of three (on the draw)
    • Land + Wildfire
      • Two draw, find wild land
    • Land + Wild Land
      • Two draw, find wildfire
    • Wild Land + Wildfire
      • Two draw, find any untapped land
  • One out of three things (only on the draw)
    • Land
      • 2 draws, find wild land + wildfire
    • Wild Land
      • 2 draws, find land + wildfire
    • Wildfire
      • 2 draws, find land + wild land